Darrelle Revis is considered to be the top corner in the NFL. A true shutdown corner, he locks down his side of the field, and all but eliminates his receiver. One of the only bright spots on a train wreck of a team, it appears that he is taking his talents to Tampa Bay.
This may be a blockbuster deal that sends the 13th overall pick in the upcoming NFL draft to NY, but is it an impending bust?
Let’s look at some history to help us evaluate this trade…
The past five 13th picks:
2012 – Michael Floyd (Arizona)
In his rookie campaign he tallied 2 TDs, 45 receptions on 86 targets, and 562 yards. Considered the third best WR on the team, Floyd is expected to have a breakout season in 2013. His 2 TD receptions were just as many as Donald Driver, Nate Burleson, and Desean Jackson.
2011 – Nick Fairley (Detroit)
An apparent injury risk, he has not played 16 games a season in either of his two in the league. Everyone knows that the Lions have had terrible draft results over the past ten years. Fairley finished last season 321st in tackles. His numbers are down due to his injuries, but he was arguably one of the league’s top DTs prior to the injury. Fairley is expected to be a Pro Bowl DT this year (if he can avoid the injury bug).
2010 – Brandon Graham (Philly)
Last season Graham had 30 tackles throughout a disastrous Eagles season. New Qb, new coach, and new defensive scheme Graham is suddenly in no man’s land. A pass rushing 4-3 defensive end, he now may be forced to make the move to linebacker. Everyone in Eagle Country knows Graham can play but f he can not handle the transition to LB then he may find himself searching for another team.
2009 – Knowshon Moreno (Denver)
Over the past two years Moreno has played in a combined 15 games. In his rookie year he rushed for 947 yards but has struggled to stay healthy and be the breakout runner the Broncos hoped for when they drafted him. Last season he only rushed for 525 yards in his 8 games played. Now in a Peyton Manning pass first offense and in a crowded backfield Moreno will need a great season to avoid being a draft bust.
2008 – Jonathan Stewart (Carolina)
As a 1,000 yard rusher he was a beast in his second year. Last season he spent most of his time on the pine, but has the chance to rebound in a Cam Newton fueled offense. In a Cam-first offense, Stewart is one injury away from opportunity-land and a career boost.
The one thing that jumps out across those picks are the injuries. Revis has an obvious knee injury but the days of a bum knee killing a career appear to be over. A big time comeback from RGIII would all but put those issues to bed.
If Revis is healthy, then he is one of the leagues best corners. He is a huge pickup by Tampa Bay! On the cover this trade is a risky one, but the risk could reap the reward. Tampa would not be able to draft an equivalent DB (if he is healthy) and his addition changes their D. As we have seen from the above data, the 13th overall pick hasn’t resulted in a player who is the best at his position over the past 5 years. Revis could be just that.
On the other side of the trade, the Jets gaining the pick means they will have the 9th and 13th picks. While they may not be able to get a playmaking superstar that will change their team, they can get two instant impact players and potential starters that will make them better.
This trade is good for everyone and one the Jets should have taken earlier.